美國CDS升3個月高點
美國信用違約交換(CDS)合約價升抵3個月高點,主要因投資者擔憂歐洲政府赤字問題恐“蔓延”至其他資產。
根據經紀商Phoenix Partners Group,Markit CDX北美投資等級指數系列13上升5.25個基點,達中價107個基點。CMA數據顯示,該指數創去年11月3日攀抵107.02個基點以來的最高水平。
這項指數已連續3天走高,因歐洲國家政府苦於撙節支出,削減赤字的疑慮,使美國經濟回穩蒙上陰影。
澳洲CDS接近9個月高點
澳洲信用違約交換(CDS)合約價飆漲,接近9個月高點,歐洲主權債信危機越演越烈,對全球其他債市也造成衝擊。
德意志銀行(Deutche Bank)表示,澳洲CDS合約價上升6個基點,至71個基點。CMA數據顯示,澳洲CDS改寫5月15日以來最高紀錄。德意志銀行及CMA報價均顯示,Markit iTraxx澳洲CDS指數上升10個基點,至115.5個基點,改寫去年10月5日來高點。
亞洲其他地區指數也攀升。
分析師指出:“雖然我們還是認為國內債市依然穩固,其他國家的主權債信風險卻逐漸升高。市場可能持續承受壓力,震盪也難免。”
西班牙不像希臘“沒救了”
西班牙要仰賴歷史來證明,它將比希臘更快找出走出財政危機的路。
西班牙的預算赤字是歐元區第3高。就在投資者質疑西班牙能否縮減赤字之際,該國財政部長提醒他們“過去我們就做到了”。
2000年代初期,西班牙在加入歐元區6年內就把預算赤字轉為盈餘。但希臘2001年勉強加入歐元區後,赤字馬上就膨脹到逾越歐盟上限。
RBS債券策略分析師表示,西班牙當然不算AAA等級的國家,可是也絕對不像希臘處於“沒救了“的情況。
http://biz.sinchew-i.com/node/31529
歐洲債信恐傷復甦‧道指跌破萬點
(美國‧紐約)美國股市週一(2月8日)下跌,在歐洲預算赤字惡化,經濟復甦恐將受創下,道瓊指數11月來首見收盤跌破萬點關卡。
標準普爾500指數終場下跌0.9%,收1056.74點,是10月來的最大週一下跌。道瓊斯工商指數大跌103.84點或1%,收9908.39點。自動報價指數下跌0.7%,收2126.05點。紐約證交所的漲跌家數比約1:4。
分析員指出,投資者因風險而退出,美國良好的經濟數據和企業獲利因歐洲的不確定性而遭抵銷。投資者要小心應對。股市本週若持續下跌,並不令人意外。
http://biz.sinchew-i.com/node/31528
英赤字滾雪球‧恐爆“歐豬”危機
(英國‧倫敦)因應希臘債信問題引發的歐洲信貸危機,歐盟各國領袖本週將在比利時首都布魯塞爾召開一項緊急峰會,然陷身債務黑洞的國家不只希臘,重量級國際經濟學家認為,政府赤字嚴重的英國,也應與希臘、西班牙等國一樣被列入危機國家名單。
國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)前主任經濟師強森指出,除了葡萄牙、意大利、希臘和西班牙“歐豬四國”(PIGS)外,他認為英國也應列入歐洲信貸危機國家名單內。愛爾蘭的變化,也需要密切觀察。
他同時嚴厲批評,七大工業國家(G7)在處理這一波歐洲信貸危機上,“全然無能”。
G7國家財長2月5日和6日才在北極舉行會議,決定由歐盟自行解決這一波因希臘引發的歐洲信貸危機。
強森分析,除非英國可以說服市場,在可預期的時間裡,重新掌控嚴重的預算赤字,否則,英國將引爆重大財經問題。
英國雖在2009年第4季正式步出經濟衰退,但成長只有0.1%,遠比預期要低。另一方面,英國的赤字為國內生產總值(GDP)的12.6%。數字高於經濟合作發展組織(OECD)國家赤字平均值國內生產總值的8.2%。而此次引爆歐洲信貸危機的希臘,赤字則為國內生產毛額的13%,英國與其不相上下。
強森不是第一個警告英國財經將陷入嚴重危機的世界級經濟學家,但卻是最直接且尖銳者。
http://biz.sinchew-i.com/node/31524
Wednesday, February 10, 2010
Sunday, February 7, 2010
Saturday, February 6, 2010
cheetah财报分析
SHARES OUTSTANDING
LARGEST 30 SHAREHOLDERS
BALANCE FLOAT
127,589,250
106,584,843
16.46%
TOP 30 SHAREHOLDERS
#
SHAREHOLDER SHARES
HELD
%
1
CHIA YOON YUEN HLDGS SB
33,462,169
26.23%
2
CHIA YOON YUEN HLDGS SB
21,000,000
16.46%
3
KOPERASI PERMODALAN FELDA BHD
12,650,000
9.91%
4
LEMBAGA TABUNG HAJI
7,595,900
5.95%
5
CITIGROUP NOM (AS)-GSCO-TRUFFLE HOUND GLOBAL VALUE LLC
4,500,000
3.53%
6
CHIA KEE FOO
4,050,000
3.17%
7
CHIA KEE FOO
3,703,950
2.90%
8
CHIA KEE KWEI
2,850,000
2.23%
9
CHIA KEE YEW
2,400,000
1.88%
10
CHIA KEE KWEI
1,882,350
1.48%
11
HOR AH KUAN
1,444,356
1.13%
12
HOR AH KUAN
1,050,000
0.82%
13
TAKAFUL IKHLAS SB
1,030,000
0.81%
14
TAKAFUL IKHLAS SB
970,000
0.76%
15
CHIA KEE YEW
952,918
0.75%
16
ALLIANCEGROUP NOM-PHEIM ASSET MGMT-EPF
895,000
0.70%
17
ASIA PACIFIC APPAREL (M) SB
795,000
0.62%
18
HU YOON KONG
750,000
0.59%
19
HU YOON KONG
555,000
0.43%
20
MUHAMMAD FEISOL HASSAN
540,000
0.42%
21
KENANGA NOM PL SEC-WONG KEE LEONG
449,000
0.35%
22
LEE GUAT KIM
409,100
0.32%
23
MALAYSIAN REINSURANCE BHD
365,000
0.29%
24
LIM HOCK CHOON
352,500
0.28%
25
ONG HUNG HOCK
350,000
0.27%
26
MAYBAN NOM PL SEC-PUNG CHEANG BOON
343,700
0.27%
27
WOO SIEW KUN
324,000
0.25%
28
HENG AH LIK
310,000
0.24%
29
LIM YIN TECK
304,900
0.24%
30
M.I.T. NOM PL SEC-ASTINAS CONSTRUCTION & DEVT SB
300,000
0.24%
股票数额=127589250unit
EPS=9.91sen
NTA=RM1.07
total equity - total liability = RM0.36
ROE=9.26%
DE RATIO = 0.4963
property, plant and equipment/ total equity and liability=1.46%(成本很低)
应收赊账与收入比率=17.83%(竞争能力强)
cash flow:
资本开支:净利润(purchaseproperty, plant and euipment/profit before tax)=37.84%
net cash per share=-RM0.256[(cash equivalent-total liability)/total share]
net working capital:=current asset-total liabilities=RM0.50
结论:
整体来说,成本低,竞争能力强,现金流安全;净现金负数可能因为存货多余现金。7倍目标价为0.69。
LARGEST 30 SHAREHOLDERS
BALANCE FLOAT
127,589,250
106,584,843
16.46%
TOP 30 SHAREHOLDERS
#
SHAREHOLDER SHARES
HELD
%
1
CHIA YOON YUEN HLDGS SB
33,462,169
26.23%
2
CHIA YOON YUEN HLDGS SB
21,000,000
16.46%
3
KOPERASI PERMODALAN FELDA BHD
12,650,000
9.91%
4
LEMBAGA TABUNG HAJI
7,595,900
5.95%
5
CITIGROUP NOM (AS)-GSCO-TRUFFLE HOUND GLOBAL VALUE LLC
4,500,000
3.53%
6
CHIA KEE FOO
4,050,000
3.17%
7
CHIA KEE FOO
3,703,950
2.90%
8
CHIA KEE KWEI
2,850,000
2.23%
9
CHIA KEE YEW
2,400,000
1.88%
10
CHIA KEE KWEI
1,882,350
1.48%
11
HOR AH KUAN
1,444,356
1.13%
12
HOR AH KUAN
1,050,000
0.82%
13
TAKAFUL IKHLAS SB
1,030,000
0.81%
14
TAKAFUL IKHLAS SB
970,000
0.76%
15
CHIA KEE YEW
952,918
0.75%
16
ALLIANCEGROUP NOM-PHEIM ASSET MGMT-EPF
895,000
0.70%
17
ASIA PACIFIC APPAREL (M) SB
795,000
0.62%
18
HU YOON KONG
750,000
0.59%
19
HU YOON KONG
555,000
0.43%
20
MUHAMMAD FEISOL HASSAN
540,000
0.42%
21
KENANGA NOM PL SEC-WONG KEE LEONG
449,000
0.35%
22
LEE GUAT KIM
409,100
0.32%
23
MALAYSIAN REINSURANCE BHD
365,000
0.29%
24
LIM HOCK CHOON
352,500
0.28%
25
ONG HUNG HOCK
350,000
0.27%
26
MAYBAN NOM PL SEC-PUNG CHEANG BOON
343,700
0.27%
27
WOO SIEW KUN
324,000
0.25%
28
HENG AH LIK
310,000
0.24%
29
LIM YIN TECK
304,900
0.24%
30
M.I.T. NOM PL SEC-ASTINAS CONSTRUCTION & DEVT SB
300,000
0.24%
股票数额=127589250unit
EPS=9.91sen
NTA=RM1.07
total equity - total liability = RM0.36
ROE=9.26%
DE RATIO = 0.4963
property, plant and equipment/ total equity and liability=1.46%(成本很低)
应收赊账与收入比率=17.83%(竞争能力强)
cash flow:
资本开支:净利润(purchaseproperty, plant and euipment/profit before tax)=37.84%
net cash per share=-RM0.256[(cash equivalent-total liability)/total share]
net working capital:=current asset-total liabilities=RM0.50
结论:
整体来说,成本低,竞争能力强,现金流安全;净现金负数可能因为存货多余现金。7倍目标价为0.69。
2009年12月财报:cscsteel分析
SHARES OUTSTANDING
LARGEST 30 SHAREHOLDERS
BALANCE FLOAT
373,219,500
287,536,900
22.96%
TOP 30 SHAREHOLDERS
#
SHAREHOLDER SHARES
HELD
%
1
CHINA STEEL ASIA PACIFIC HOLDINGS PTE LTD
171,000,000
45.82%
2
LEMBAGA TABUNG ANGKATAN TENTERA
38,077,700
10.20%
3
LEMBAGA TABUNG HAJI
28,782,100
7.71%
4
HSBC NOMS SB EXE.AN-MORGAN STANLEY & CO. INT. PLC
8,769,600
2.35%
5
HSBC NOMS SB BNY BRUSSELS - QUEENSLAND INV.CORP.
4,600,000
1.23%
6
AMANAH RAYA NOMS SB PUBLIC ISLAMIC OPP. FUND
3,730,900
1.00%
7
DB NOMS SB EXE.AN-AMARA INV.MGMT SB
2,576,000
0.69%
8
MSIA NOMS SB GREAT EASTERN LIFE ASS.BHD
2,500,000
0.67%
9
LIM SENG QWEE
2,447,200
0.66%
10
AMANAH RAYA NOMS SB AMANAH SAHAM WAWASAN 2020
2,089,800
0.56%
11
PERMODALAN NASIONAL BHD
2,000,000
0.54%
12
AMANAN RAYA NOMS SB PUBLIC ISLAMIC DIV. FUND
1,988,100
0.53%
13
NEOH CHOO EE & CO. SB
1,700,000
0.46%
14
MSIA NOMS SB GREAT EASTERN LIFE ASS. BHD
1,600,600
0.43%
15
NAR SWEE KIM
1,320,900
0.35%
16
TOH KAM CHOY
1,235,000
0.33%
17
AMANAH RAYA NOMS SB SEKIM AMANAH SAHAM NASIONAL
1,228,900
0.33%
18
KURNIA INS. BHD QUARRY LANE SB
1,197,000
0.32%
19
QUAARY LANE SB
1,180,000
0.32%
20
HSBC NOMS SB HSBC TRUSTEE BHD - MAAKL AL-FAID
1,030,000
0.28%
21
CIMSEC NOMS SB CIMB BANK - MAK TIAN MENG
1,000,000
0.27%
22
CIMB BANK-TUANKU SYED SIRAJUDDIN IBNI SYED PUTRA JAMALULLAIL
982,800
0.26%
23
AMANAH RAYA NOMS SB PUBLIC ISLAMIC SECTOR SEL. FUND
978,800
0.26%
24
TIAH THEE SENG
948,300
0.25%
25
RHB CAPITAL NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - FONG SILING
860,000
0.23%
26
GOH THONG BENG
853,000
0.23%
27
LOW MEI LAN
800,000
0.21%
28
MD NAZIR BIN MD ALI
700,000
0.19%
29
KENANGA NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - HOW KIM CHAI
693,900
0.19%
30
YEO KHEE HUAT
666,300
0.18%
根据cscstel的财报,钢铁价在2009年12月开始复苏。
目前提议派息13%,特别息7%。
股票数额=373,219,500unit
EPS=24.42sen
NTA=RM2.09
total equity - total liability = RM1.856 (上次RM1.61)
ROE=11.68%
DE RATIO = 0.1101
债务方面保持良好,没有长期债,短期债也减少了。
property, plant and equipment/ total equity and liability=36.55%(成本控制降低了,有利竞争。)
应收赊账与收入比率=35%(减少了,竞争能力提高)
cash flow:
资本开支:净利润(purchaseproperty, plant and euipment/profit before tax)=7.45%
net cash per share=RM0.606[(cash equivalent-total liability)/total share]
net working capital:=current asset-total liabilities=RM1.18
结论:
净现金有RM0.606,派股息后剩下RM0.406。7倍PE目标价为RM1.71, 5倍PE则是RM1.22,保守估计目标价为RM1.62-RM2.11左右。
LARGEST 30 SHAREHOLDERS
BALANCE FLOAT
373,219,500
287,536,900
22.96%
TOP 30 SHAREHOLDERS
#
SHAREHOLDER SHARES
HELD
%
1
CHINA STEEL ASIA PACIFIC HOLDINGS PTE LTD
171,000,000
45.82%
2
LEMBAGA TABUNG ANGKATAN TENTERA
38,077,700
10.20%
3
LEMBAGA TABUNG HAJI
28,782,100
7.71%
4
HSBC NOMS SB EXE.AN-MORGAN STANLEY & CO. INT. PLC
8,769,600
2.35%
5
HSBC NOMS SB BNY BRUSSELS - QUEENSLAND INV.CORP.
4,600,000
1.23%
6
AMANAH RAYA NOMS SB PUBLIC ISLAMIC OPP. FUND
3,730,900
1.00%
7
DB NOMS SB EXE.AN-AMARA INV.MGMT SB
2,576,000
0.69%
8
MSIA NOMS SB GREAT EASTERN LIFE ASS.BHD
2,500,000
0.67%
9
LIM SENG QWEE
2,447,200
0.66%
10
AMANAH RAYA NOMS SB AMANAH SAHAM WAWASAN 2020
2,089,800
0.56%
11
PERMODALAN NASIONAL BHD
2,000,000
0.54%
12
AMANAN RAYA NOMS SB PUBLIC ISLAMIC DIV. FUND
1,988,100
0.53%
13
NEOH CHOO EE & CO. SB
1,700,000
0.46%
14
MSIA NOMS SB GREAT EASTERN LIFE ASS. BHD
1,600,600
0.43%
15
NAR SWEE KIM
1,320,900
0.35%
16
TOH KAM CHOY
1,235,000
0.33%
17
AMANAH RAYA NOMS SB SEKIM AMANAH SAHAM NASIONAL
1,228,900
0.33%
18
KURNIA INS. BHD QUARRY LANE SB
1,197,000
0.32%
19
QUAARY LANE SB
1,180,000
0.32%
20
HSBC NOMS SB HSBC TRUSTEE BHD - MAAKL AL-FAID
1,030,000
0.28%
21
CIMSEC NOMS SB CIMB BANK - MAK TIAN MENG
1,000,000
0.27%
22
CIMB BANK-TUANKU SYED SIRAJUDDIN IBNI SYED PUTRA JAMALULLAIL
982,800
0.26%
23
AMANAH RAYA NOMS SB PUBLIC ISLAMIC SECTOR SEL. FUND
978,800
0.26%
24
TIAH THEE SENG
948,300
0.25%
25
RHB CAPITAL NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - FONG SILING
860,000
0.23%
26
GOH THONG BENG
853,000
0.23%
27
LOW MEI LAN
800,000
0.21%
28
MD NAZIR BIN MD ALI
700,000
0.19%
29
KENANGA NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - HOW KIM CHAI
693,900
0.19%
30
YEO KHEE HUAT
666,300
0.18%
根据cscstel的财报,钢铁价在2009年12月开始复苏。
目前提议派息13%,特别息7%。
股票数额=373,219,500unit
EPS=24.42sen
NTA=RM2.09
total equity - total liability = RM1.856 (上次RM1.61)
ROE=11.68%
DE RATIO = 0.1101
债务方面保持良好,没有长期债,短期债也减少了。
property, plant and equipment/ total equity and liability=36.55%(成本控制降低了,有利竞争。)
应收赊账与收入比率=35%(减少了,竞争能力提高)
cash flow:
资本开支:净利润(purchaseproperty, plant and euipment/profit before tax)=7.45%
net cash per share=RM0.606[(cash equivalent-total liability)/total share]
net working capital:=current asset-total liabilities=RM1.18
结论:
净现金有RM0.606,派股息后剩下RM0.406。7倍PE目标价为RM1.71, 5倍PE则是RM1.22,保守估计目标价为RM1.62-RM2.11左右。
Wednesday, February 3, 2010
我的投资策略缺陷在哪?
看了《巴菲特与索罗斯的投资习惯》,第3章的保住现有财富提到避免赔钱比赚钱容易很多;赔钱比赚钱的确容易很多!
内附的2个例子有:
1.长期资本管理基金在1998年4月将4年累计的50亿资产亏掉46亿。
2.维克多。尼德霍夫在1997年10月将累计20年的1.3亿美元一天内亏到完。
我2009年赚了66.66%的确有点夸张,会不会赚得快,亏得更严重呢?
我的投资方法有缺陷吗?暂时我还不知道。
根据7中致命的投资信念,市场是不可预测的;那么我是不是不应该预测中国炒楼的泡沫?我应该提早卖掉股票吗?恕我学艺未精,我还是犹豫不决~
内附的2个例子有:
1.长期资本管理基金在1998年4月将4年累计的50亿资产亏掉46亿。
2.维克多。尼德霍夫在1997年10月将累计20年的1.3亿美元一天内亏到完。
我2009年赚了66.66%的确有点夸张,会不会赚得快,亏得更严重呢?
我的投资方法有缺陷吗?暂时我还不知道。
根据7中致命的投资信念,市场是不可预测的;那么我是不是不应该预测中国炒楼的泡沫?我应该提早卖掉股票吗?恕我学艺未精,我还是犹豫不决~
Saturday, January 30, 2010
LTKM 分析
LTKM BERHAD
生产LKT 鸡蛋
30大股东:
SHARES OUTSTANDING
LARGEST 30 SHAREHOLDERS
BALANCE FLOAT
41,132,002
31,373,802
23.72%
TOP 30 SHAREHOLDERS
#
SHAREHOLDER SHARES
HELD
%
1
LADANG TERNAKAN KELANG SB
7,181,000
17.46%
2
LADANG TERNAKAN KELANG SB
6,586,700
16.01%
3
LADANG TERNAKAN KELANG SB
6,000,000
14.59%
4
LADANG TERNAKAN KELANG SB
3,976,200
9.67%
5
PUI CHENG WUI
1,739,100
4.23%
6
PHUAH CHAI TIN
900,500
2.19%
7
LADANG TERNAKAN KELANG SB
750,002
1.82%
8
KOK CHIEW HENG
350,000
0.85%
9
CHUA SIM NEO @ DIANA CHUA
309,400
0.75%
10
KOPERASI POLIS DIRAJA MSIA BHD
279,000
0.68%
11
CHIA SONG SWA
262,400
0.64%
12
WONG HOK YIM
243,000
0.59%
13
LENG TONG CHOO
217,800
0.53%
14
PUBLIC INVEST NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - YOONG FUI KIEN
209,200
0.53%
15
TAN SOON HUI
201,800
0.49%
16
LIM HOOI TIN
200,000
0.49%
17
YONG NGET MIN
196,000
0.48%
18
TAN AH MOI
176,000
0.43%
19
LIM SZE YING
160,000
0.39%
20
ECML NOMS SB VISITOR CHRISTIAN BROTHERS SCHOOLS MSIA
157,100
0.38%
21
HONG WENG HWA
156,500
0.38%
22
LEE CHEE GAIP
154,000
0.37%
23
HLG NOM SB PLED SEC ACC - TAN YEE BOON
140,700
0.34%
24
TA NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - KOH KWEE CHOO
140,000
0.34%
25
CALIBRE PORTFOLIO SB
130,000
0.32%
26
AIBB NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - TAI KOK KONG
123,900
0.30%
27
TAN YEE BOON
113,500
0.28%
28
TAN LAI SOON
108,000
0.26%
29
CITIGROUP NOMS SB PLL - ROBOTTI GLOBAL FUND LLC
107,000
0.26%
30
TAN KARK BIN
105,000
0.25%
股票总数=41132002unit
最近一年的eps=45.1sen
NTA=RM2.305
ROE=19.56%
目前PE=3.082
6倍PE目标价=2.70
DE RATIO=0.27
DY=5.75%
根据截至2009年3月的财报:
property, plant, and equipment占total equity and liabilities 的比率=60.99%(比率越低,竞争能力越强)
cash flow:
资本开支:净利润(purchaseproperty, plant and euipment/profit before tax)=39.4%【安全的现金流-低于50%】
net working capital=current asset-total liabilities=RM0.332 (保证值)
3年最低=0.85;
3年最高=1.58
竞争对手:
LAYHONG
LHH
TPC
EMIVEST
CCK
结论:
最新一季的收入很高,拉高了总收入,崮中原因若属正常,应该值得投资。
PE过低的原因不明,自2005-2009年的PE历史显示,他的PE处于3.2-8.07之间。因此目标价可设在2.25-2.70之间。
生产LKT 鸡蛋
30大股东:
SHARES OUTSTANDING
LARGEST 30 SHAREHOLDERS
BALANCE FLOAT
41,132,002
31,373,802
23.72%
TOP 30 SHAREHOLDERS
#
SHAREHOLDER SHARES
HELD
%
1
LADANG TERNAKAN KELANG SB
7,181,000
17.46%
2
LADANG TERNAKAN KELANG SB
6,586,700
16.01%
3
LADANG TERNAKAN KELANG SB
6,000,000
14.59%
4
LADANG TERNAKAN KELANG SB
3,976,200
9.67%
5
PUI CHENG WUI
1,739,100
4.23%
6
PHUAH CHAI TIN
900,500
2.19%
7
LADANG TERNAKAN KELANG SB
750,002
1.82%
8
KOK CHIEW HENG
350,000
0.85%
9
CHUA SIM NEO @ DIANA CHUA
309,400
0.75%
10
KOPERASI POLIS DIRAJA MSIA BHD
279,000
0.68%
11
CHIA SONG SWA
262,400
0.64%
12
WONG HOK YIM
243,000
0.59%
13
LENG TONG CHOO
217,800
0.53%
14
PUBLIC INVEST NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - YOONG FUI KIEN
209,200
0.53%
15
TAN SOON HUI
201,800
0.49%
16
LIM HOOI TIN
200,000
0.49%
17
YONG NGET MIN
196,000
0.48%
18
TAN AH MOI
176,000
0.43%
19
LIM SZE YING
160,000
0.39%
20
ECML NOMS SB VISITOR CHRISTIAN BROTHERS SCHOOLS MSIA
157,100
0.38%
21
HONG WENG HWA
156,500
0.38%
22
LEE CHEE GAIP
154,000
0.37%
23
HLG NOM SB PLED SEC ACC - TAN YEE BOON
140,700
0.34%
24
TA NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - KOH KWEE CHOO
140,000
0.34%
25
CALIBRE PORTFOLIO SB
130,000
0.32%
26
AIBB NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - TAI KOK KONG
123,900
0.30%
27
TAN YEE BOON
113,500
0.28%
28
TAN LAI SOON
108,000
0.26%
29
CITIGROUP NOMS SB PLL - ROBOTTI GLOBAL FUND LLC
107,000
0.26%
30
TAN KARK BIN
105,000
0.25%
股票总数=41132002unit
最近一年的eps=45.1sen
NTA=RM2.305
ROE=19.56%
目前PE=3.082
6倍PE目标价=2.70
DE RATIO=0.27
DY=5.75%
根据截至2009年3月的财报:
property, plant, and equipment占total equity and liabilities 的比率=60.99%(比率越低,竞争能力越强)
cash flow:
资本开支:净利润(purchaseproperty, plant and euipment/profit before tax)=39.4%【安全的现金流-低于50%】
net working capital=current asset-total liabilities=RM0.332 (保证值)
3年最低=0.85;
3年最高=1.58
竞争对手:
LAYHONG
LHH
TPC
EMIVEST
CCK
结论:
最新一季的收入很高,拉高了总收入,崮中原因若属正常,应该值得投资。
PE过低的原因不明,自2005-2009年的PE历史显示,他的PE处于3.2-8.07之间。因此目标价可设在2.25-2.70之间。
FAVCO 的分析
FAVCO - FAVELLE FAVCO BERHAD
FAVCO的事业是出租与销售起重机
30大股东:
SHARES OUTSTANDING
LARGEST 30 SHAREHOLDERS
BALANCE FLOAT
171,028,020
145,920,229
14.68%
TOP 30 SHAREHOLDERS
#
SHAREHOLDER SHARES
HELD
%
1
MUHIBBAH ENGINEERING BHD
98,000,000
57.30%
2
LEMBAGA TABUNG HAJI
11,386,200
6.66%
3
HSBC NOMS SB EXEMPT AN-JPMORGAN CHASE B.NAT.ASS.
5,721,000
3.35%
4
MAYBAN SEC NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - MAC NGAN BOON@MAC YIN BOON
5,264,000
3.08%
5
NIK IBRAHIM KAMIL BIN NIK AHMD KAMIL
2,873,722
1.68%
6
MOHD TAIB BIN IBRAHIM
2,330,200
1.36%
7
MAC NGAN BOON @ MAC YIN BOON
2,128,913
1.24%
8
BAHARUDDIN BIN ALI
2,102,700
1.23%
9
HSBC NOMS SB HSBC TRUSTEE BHD - MAAKL AL-FAID
1,867,500
1.09%
10
ALLIANCEGROUP NOMS SB PHEIM ASSET MGMT SB - EPF
1,866,400
1.09%
11
MAZLAN BIN ABDUL HAMID
1,401,000
0.82%
12
OOI SEN ENG
1,326,000
0.78%
13
MAC CHUNG HUI
1,012,000
0.59%
14
RHB CAPITAL NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - NORIYATI BINTI HASSAN
900,000
0.53%
15
OREC ENGINEERING HOLDINGS PTY LTD
900,000
0.53%
16
HSBC NOMS SB HSBC TRUSTEE BHD-MAAKL PROGRESS FUND
880,000
0.51%
17
MAYBAN SEC NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - CHEW KENG SIEW
800,000
0.47%
18
MOHD TAIB BIN IBRAHIM
515,471
0.30%
19
AMSEC NOMS SB AMTRUSTE BHD - APEX DANA AL-SOFI-I
469,000
0.27%
20
NORIYATI BINTI HASSAN
454,823
0.27%
21
HSBC NOMS SB HSBC TRUSTEE BHD - MAAKL GROWTH FUND
421,500
0.25%
22
MAYBAN SEC NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - MAC CHUNG LYNN
400,000
0.23%
23
MAYBAN SEC NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - MAC CHUNG JIN
400,000
0.23%
24
MAYBAN SEC NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - MAC CHUNG HUI
400,000
0.23%
25
EB NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC-RAJA AHMD ZAINUDDIN BIN RAJA HAJI OM
400,000
0.23%
26
PUBLIC NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - HUNG YEW LOONG
380,000
0.22%
27
YAP ENG JIN
346,000
0.20%
28
MAYBAN SEC NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - NG NGAH PENG
337,000
0.20%
29
HSBC NOMS SB EXEMPT AN - UBS AG
326,800
0.19%
30
NG YUNE MING
310,000
0.18%
股票总数=172365020unit
最近一年的eps=16.33sen
NTA=RM0.856
ROE=19.07%
目前PE=4.69
8倍PE目标价=1.30
DE RATIO=2.79 (虽然pe很低,看似值得买,可是债务似乎很高,危机潜在)
根据2008财报分析:
total equity - total libility=-RM2.88亿(负债高,没有安全感)
结论:
看来是一高负债来达到高回酬的股票,不值得购买!~
FAVCO的事业是出租与销售起重机
30大股东:
SHARES OUTSTANDING
LARGEST 30 SHAREHOLDERS
BALANCE FLOAT
171,028,020
145,920,229
14.68%
TOP 30 SHAREHOLDERS
#
SHAREHOLDER SHARES
HELD
%
1
MUHIBBAH ENGINEERING BHD
98,000,000
57.30%
2
LEMBAGA TABUNG HAJI
11,386,200
6.66%
3
HSBC NOMS SB EXEMPT AN-JPMORGAN CHASE B.NAT.ASS.
5,721,000
3.35%
4
MAYBAN SEC NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - MAC NGAN BOON@MAC YIN BOON
5,264,000
3.08%
5
NIK IBRAHIM KAMIL BIN NIK AHMD KAMIL
2,873,722
1.68%
6
MOHD TAIB BIN IBRAHIM
2,330,200
1.36%
7
MAC NGAN BOON @ MAC YIN BOON
2,128,913
1.24%
8
BAHARUDDIN BIN ALI
2,102,700
1.23%
9
HSBC NOMS SB HSBC TRUSTEE BHD - MAAKL AL-FAID
1,867,500
1.09%
10
ALLIANCEGROUP NOMS SB PHEIM ASSET MGMT SB - EPF
1,866,400
1.09%
11
MAZLAN BIN ABDUL HAMID
1,401,000
0.82%
12
OOI SEN ENG
1,326,000
0.78%
13
MAC CHUNG HUI
1,012,000
0.59%
14
RHB CAPITAL NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - NORIYATI BINTI HASSAN
900,000
0.53%
15
OREC ENGINEERING HOLDINGS PTY LTD
900,000
0.53%
16
HSBC NOMS SB HSBC TRUSTEE BHD-MAAKL PROGRESS FUND
880,000
0.51%
17
MAYBAN SEC NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - CHEW KENG SIEW
800,000
0.47%
18
MOHD TAIB BIN IBRAHIM
515,471
0.30%
19
AMSEC NOMS SB AMTRUSTE BHD - APEX DANA AL-SOFI-I
469,000
0.27%
20
NORIYATI BINTI HASSAN
454,823
0.27%
21
HSBC NOMS SB HSBC TRUSTEE BHD - MAAKL GROWTH FUND
421,500
0.25%
22
MAYBAN SEC NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - MAC CHUNG LYNN
400,000
0.23%
23
MAYBAN SEC NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - MAC CHUNG JIN
400,000
0.23%
24
MAYBAN SEC NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - MAC CHUNG HUI
400,000
0.23%
25
EB NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC-RAJA AHMD ZAINUDDIN BIN RAJA HAJI OM
400,000
0.23%
26
PUBLIC NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - HUNG YEW LOONG
380,000
0.22%
27
YAP ENG JIN
346,000
0.20%
28
MAYBAN SEC NOMS SB PLED SEC ACC - NG NGAH PENG
337,000
0.20%
29
HSBC NOMS SB EXEMPT AN - UBS AG
326,800
0.19%
30
NG YUNE MING
310,000
0.18%
股票总数=172365020unit
最近一年的eps=16.33sen
NTA=RM0.856
ROE=19.07%
目前PE=4.69
8倍PE目标价=1.30
DE RATIO=2.79 (虽然pe很低,看似值得买,可是债务似乎很高,危机潜在)
根据2008财报分析:
total equity - total libility=-RM2.88亿(负债高,没有安全感)
结论:
看来是一高负债来达到高回酬的股票,不值得购买!~
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